29 October 2025
Kevin Green kicks off the trading day with his eyes overseas. He's watching developments with China ahead of Pres. Trump and Pres. Xi's highly-anticipated meeting, with particular attention to the soybean trade. KG notes positive commentary around a trade deal with South Korea.
Domestically, the Fed's decision to cut rates by 25bps is largely anticipated, but KG says investors should pay attention to quantitative tightening (QT) measures by the central bank. He says if the Fed changes course on QT it could help push mortgage rates down, which could help not only homebuyers but also homebuilders.
On the earnings front, KG looks at Boeing's (BA) "stabilizing report" and Caterpillar's (CAT) revenue growth thanks in part to the buildout in A.I. data centers. For today's session, he's looking at S&P 500 (SPX) upside to $6960, with downside to $6850. KG adds that he wouldn't be surprised if $7000 gets tested if there's any QT announcement from the Fed.
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